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Qual 182016 Summer Heat
Red115
13135.4
31940.9
512229.4
Blue94
5821.4
360922.6
568743.9
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1118005010015020011594

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
319
#1
40.90.8
40.5→41.2
Auto9.5
Teleop25.1
End6.3
blue by 3.0
5687
#6
43.90.8
40.5→41.3
Auto12.4
Teleop25.4
End6.1
Second
131
#2
35.40.8
35.0→35.8
Auto9.3
Teleop16.6
End9.5
red by 12.9
3609
#16
22.60.8
19.2→20.0
Auto4.2
Teleop13.4
End4.9
Third
5122
#9
29.40.8
28.0→28.8
Auto8.7
Teleop15.5
End5.2
red by 7.9
58
#14
21.40.8
22.0→22.8
Auto4.4
Teleop12.9
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach oddsEarned87%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
21%Capture oddsMissed4%Capture oddsMissed