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Quarterfinal 3-12016 Hawaii Regional
Red161
243834.1
243937.2
244522.6
Blue154
246523.7
289622.5
388228.7
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1228350100150200161154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2439
#3
37.20.5
37.5→37.9
Auto10.8
Teleop21.4
End5.0
red by 8.5
3882
#23
28.70.8
27.7→28.5
Auto6.0
Teleop18.3
End4.4
Second
2438
#9
34.10.5
34.4→34.9
Auto12.6
Teleop17.6
End4.0
red by 10.5
2465
#14
23.70.8
22.7→23.5
Auto5.2
Teleop16.3
End2.2
Third
2445
#19
22.60.5
22.8→23.3
Auto5.5
Teleop12.4
End4.6
red by 0.1
2896
#8
22.50.8
21.5→22.3
Auto7.6
Teleop11.5
End3.4