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Quarterfinal 3-22016 Hawaii Regional
Red135
243834.1
243937.2
244522.6
Blue107
246523.7
289622.5
388228.7
83%Model gave it17%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1238650100150200135107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2439
#3
37.20.3
37.9→38.2
Auto10.8
Teleop21.4
End5.0
red by 8.5
3882
#23
28.70.2
28.5→28.7
Auto6.0
Teleop18.3
End4.4
Second
2438
#9
34.10.3
34.9→35.2
Auto12.6
Teleop17.6
End4.0
red by 10.5
2465
#14
23.70.2
23.5→23.7
Auto5.2
Teleop16.3
End2.2
Third
2445
#19
22.60.3
23.3→23.6
Auto5.5
Teleop12.4
End4.6
red by 0.1
2896
#8
22.50.2
22.3→22.5
Auto7.6
Teleop11.5
End3.4