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Qual 162016 Hawaii Regional
Red55
617913.8
388228.7
508727.0
Blue44
372113.2
250424.5
570120.0
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions684202060801001205544

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3882
#23
28.70.6
26.8→26.3
Auto6.0
Teleop18.3
End4.4
red by 4.2
2504
#20
24.50.7
17.0→16.3
Auto5.1
Teleop15.9
End3.4
Second
5087
#18
27.00.5
20.6→20.1
Auto7.4
Teleop14.4
End5.2
red by 7.0
5701
#27
20.00.7
15.7→15.0
Auto7.3
Teleop9.1
End3.6
Third
6179
#28
13.80.8
15.1→14.2
Auto2.8
Teleop8.8
End2.2
red by 0.6
3721
#33
13.20.7
12.4→11.7
Auto3.5
Teleop9.4
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
18%Breach oddsMissed38%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed