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Qual 172016 Hawaii Regional
Red67
545316.2
421816.4
243834.1
Blue102
244331.6
246523.7
477424.1
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41620208010067102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2438
#9
34.12.7
18.4→21.1
Auto12.6
Teleop17.6
End4.0
red by 2.5
2443
#17
31.63.3
26.2→29.5
Auto8.2
Teleop18.6
End4.8
Second
4218
#30
16.42.7
12.7→15.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop13.9
End2.6
blue by 7.7
4774
#5
24.13.0
16.1→19.1
Auto6.7
Teleop14.1
End3.3
Third
5453
#26
16.22.7
11.5→14.3
Auto7.6
Teleop6.9
End1.6
blue by 7.5
2465
#14
23.73.0
14.7→17.7
Auto5.2
Teleop16.3
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
25%Breach oddsMissed36%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed