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Qual 182016 Hawaii Regional
Red68
36838.2
285326.3
560118.8
Blue55
583212.1
244522.6
300823.8
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71490204060801001206855

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
368
#2
38.20.3
33.1→32.8
Auto8.6
Teleop24.8
End4.8
red by 14.5
3008
#21
23.80.3
21.5→21.8
Auto8.5
Teleop10.4
End4.8
Second
2853
#7
26.30.3
17.8→17.5
Auto8.4
Teleop14.7
End3.2
red by 3.8
2445
#19
22.60.3
20.7→21.0
Auto5.5
Teleop12.4
End4.6
Third
5601
#34
18.80.3
15.1→14.7
Auto6.5
Teleop9.5
End2.8
red by 6.7
5832
#37
12.10.5
8.4→8.9
Auto2.8
Teleop5.5
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
36%Breach oddsMissed29%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed