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Qual 662016 Hawaii Regional
Red147
244426.2
35954.6
243834.1
Blue60
137815.8
387820.1
244331.6
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1246505010015020014760

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
359
#1
54.62.3
54.7→57.0
Auto15.6
Teleop32.1
End6.9
red by 22.9
2443
#17
31.60.8
33.5→32.7
Auto8.2
Teleop18.6
End4.8
Second
2438
#9
34.12.9
33.3→36.2
Auto12.6
Teleop17.6
End4.0
red by 14.0
3878
#16
20.11.0
21.8→20.8
Auto2.1
Teleop14.0
End4.1
Third
2444
#10
26.22.9
23.9→26.8
Auto10.5
Teleop12.9
End2.8
red by 10.4
1378
#32
15.81.0
16.9→15.9
Auto5.6
Teleop7.4
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach oddsEarned69%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
4%Capture oddsEarned0%Capture oddsMissed