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Red90
300823.8
250424.5
388228.7
Blue83
545316.2
244522.6
209029.4
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions77640501001509083

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3882
#23
28.71.1
26.327.4
Auto6.0
Teleop18.3
End4.4
blue by 0.7
2090
#13
29.41.7
27.329.0
Auto7.0
Teleop17.1
End5.3
Second
2504
#20
24.51.4
22.924.3
Auto5.1
Teleop15.9
End3.4
red by 1.9
2445
#19
22.61.3
21.222.4
Auto5.5
Teleop12.4
End4.6
Third
3008
#21
23.81.1
24.025.1
Auto8.5
Teleop10.4
End4.8
red by 7.6
5453
#26
16.21.5
15.617.1
Auto7.6
Teleop6.9
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
56%Breach oddsEarned52%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed