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Qual 682016 Hawaii Regional
Red111
243937.2
388034.1
380013.5
Blue73
425326.8
560118.8
247713.6
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9350015011173

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2439
#3
37.20.6
36.6→36.0
Auto10.8
Teleop21.4
End5.0
red by 10.4
4253
#11
26.81.2
24.4→25.6
Auto8.1
Teleop13.2
End5.5
Second
3880
#6
34.10.5
33.6→33.1
Auto10.0
Teleop20.6
End3.5
red by 15.3
5601
#34
18.81.5
16.5→17.9
Auto6.5
Teleop9.5
End2.8
Third
3800
#15
13.50.7
13.8→13.1
Auto4.4
Teleop8.7
End0.4
Level
2477
#35
13.61.5
13.9→15.4
Auto2.2
Teleop9.1
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
89%Breach oddsEarned42%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed