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Quarterfinal 2-22016 Hopper Division
Red210
433458.2
29447.6
201345.2
Blue204
30337.3
179635.1
458748.6
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20115550100250300350210204

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.20.3
57.257.4
Auto14.9
Teleop38.7
End4.6
red by 9.6
4587
#11
48.60.9
47.748.6
Auto11.1
Teleop33.0
End4.6
Second
294
#7
47.60.3
46.646.8
Auto11.9
Teleop28.8
End6.9
red by 10.2
303
#6
37.30.9
36.437.3
Auto8.9
Teleop22.3
End6.1
Third
2013
#17
45.20.3
44.644.8
Auto13.3
Teleop23.8
End8.1
red by 10.0
1796
#27
35.10.9
34.235.1
Auto9.4
Teleop21.8
End4.0