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Red141
496747.2
34645.3
101137.3
Blue193
132343.0
97167.2
19337.5
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1691970100300400500600141193

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4967
#14
47.20.3
47.947.5
Auto8.7
Teleop30.7
End7.9
blue by 19.9
971
#4
67.20.0
66.666.7
Auto23.2
Teleop35.2
End8.8
Second
346
#9
45.30.3
45.945.5
Auto10.9
Teleop23.4
End10.9
red by 2.2
1323
#25
43.00.0
42.542.5
Auto10.1
Teleop27.7
End5.2
Third
1011
#43
37.30.3
37.937.6
Auto8.5
Teleop23.9
End5.0
blue by 0.2
193
#45
37.50.0
37.037.0
Auto11.1
Teleop20.7
End5.7