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Quarterfinal 4-22016 Hopper Division
Red192
19337.5
97167.2
132343.0
Blue124
173043.8
171232.2
86947.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1971610100300400500192124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
971
#4
67.20.4
66.266.6
Auto23.2
Teleop35.2
End8.8
red by 19.8
869
#40
47.40.7
48.147.4
Auto9.2
Teleop25.3
End12.9
Second
1323
#25
43.00.4
42.142.5
Auto10.1
Teleop27.7
End5.2
blue by 0.8
1730
#51
43.80.7
44.543.8
Auto12.5
Teleop22.1
End9.2
Third
193
#45
37.50.4
36.637.0
Auto11.1
Teleop20.7
End5.7
red by 5.4
32.20.7
32.932.2
Auto11.1
Teleop17.0
End4.0