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Quarterfinal 4-12016 Hopper Division
Red192
525446.6
97167.2
132343.0
Blue181
173043.8
171232.2
86947.4
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21115950100250300350192181

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
971
#4
67.20.2
66.4→66.2
Auto23.2
Teleop35.2
End8.8
red by 19.8
869
#40
47.40.0
48.1→48.1
Auto9.2
Teleop25.3
End12.9
Second
5254
#46
46.60.2
46.8→46.6
Auto11.4
Teleop28.1
End7.1
red by 2.8
1730
#51
43.80.0
44.5→44.5
Auto12.5
Teleop22.1
End9.2
Third
1323
#25
43.00.2
42.3→42.1
Auto10.1
Teleop27.7
End5.2
red by 10.9
1712
#8
32.20.0
32.8→32.9
Auto11.1
Teleop17.0
End4.0