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Quarterfinal 3-22016 Hopper Division
Red171
142546.0
153845.3
204638.3
Blue180
496747.2
34645.3
101137.3
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions173174150160170180190200171180

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1425
#2
46.00.1
46.1→46.0
Auto9.2
Teleop24.2
End12.6
blue by 1.2
4967
#14
47.20.1
47.8→47.9
Auto8.7
Teleop30.7
End7.9
Second
1538
#21
45.30.1
45.4→45.3
Auto9.4
Teleop27.7
End8.1
Level
346
#9
45.30.1
45.8→45.9
Auto10.9
Teleop23.4
End10.9
Third
2046
#23
38.30.1
38.4→38.3
Auto15.4
Teleop18.0
End4.8
red by 1.0
1011
#43
37.30.1
37.9→37.9
Auto8.5
Teleop23.9
End5.0