2046Bear Metal
Maple Valley, Washington, USA
#242 of 3114 · 57-26-1 · 68% win rate
PNW District - Auburn Mountainview Event
Mar 3 – 5, 2016
| Match | Red | Blue | Pred | Win prob | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qual 7 | 321820462557 | 94937814173 | 66–51 | 77% | 80–54 |
| Qual 11 | 558818994131 | 204629061983 | 52–73 | 80% | 40–82 |
| Qual 15 | 378620463787 | 131829074918 | 63–62 | 54% | 72–69 |
| Qual 20 | 36029294450 | 378120461294 | 68–61 | 71% | 75–81 |
| Qual 28 | 204629295937 | 321859393238 | 54–68 | 80% | 85–69 |
| Qual 33 | 290758033781 | 366344612046 | 62–72 | 71% | 70–55 |
| Qual 41 | 445020464469 | 260532385937 | 85–65 | 89% | 87–70 |
| Qual 50 | 32193603393 | 417320462522 | 71–81 | 67% | 79–80 |
| Qual 56 | 48832373223 | 204626053219 | 55–63 | 66% | 15–90 |
| Qual 65 | 29272046949 | 378655885803 | 68–61 | 64% | 82–71 |
| Qual 70 | 582725554461 | 558820464918 | 44–72 | 95% | 44–84 |
| Qual 78 | 292725574918 | 18993602046 | 57–72 | 80% | 66–55 |
| Playoffs | |||||
| Quarterfinal 3-1 | 252220465937 | 12949492906 | 103–92 | 72% | 108–77 |
| Quarterfinal 3-2 | 252220465937 | 12949492906 | 104–91 | 73% | 102–105 |
| Quarterfinal 3-3 | 252220465937 | 12949492906 | 104–91 | 72% | 109–109 |
| Semifinal 2-1 | 252220465937 | 41312557360 | 104–98 | 60% | 119–102 |
| Semifinal 2-2 | 252220465937 | 41312557360 | 105–98 | 61% | 111–106 |
| Finals | |||||
| Final 1 | 323819833786 | 252220465937 | 119–106 | 72% | 122–106 |
| Final 2 | 323819833786 | 252220465937 | 119–106 | 73% | 99–85 |
| Match | Red | Blue | Pred | Win prob | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qual 4 | 29902046753 | 580325505085 | 82–83 | 59% | 78–57 |
| Qual 9 | 302420461983 | 135931922811 | 93–51 | 99% | 94–50 |
| Qual 13 | 204625213049 | 363650851510 | 68–61 | 64% | 52–70 |
| Qual 18 | 131835745803 | 448815102046 | 88–94 | 70% | 117–85 |
| Qual 23 | 38128472046 | 50853024753 | 77–74 | 54% | 92–67 |
| Qual 30 | 58033812955 | 508520462411 | 80–78 | 53% | 50–87 |
| Qual 34 | 302431922046 | 24113131997 | 62–62 | 53% | 81–57 |
| Qual 40 | 357440572411 | 95520462811 | 77–85 | 68% | 83–89 |
| Qual 44 | 7539555198 | 13182046957 | 71–85 | 80% | 74–93 |
| Qual 47 | 304930241432 | 204640572907 | 48–97 | 100% | 50–99 |
| Qual 51 | 9572811847 | 204651983636 | 62–70 | 70% | 55–75 |
| Qual 57 | 95736363049 | 204614323812 | 44–71 | 92% | 10–92 |
| Playoffs | |||||
| Quarterfinal 4-1 | 580320462811 | 252135741510 | 110–98 | 67% | 166–85 |
| Quarterfinal 4-2 | 580320462811 | 252135741510 | 112–98 | 71% | 127–117 |
| Semifinal 2-1 | 299044881432 | 580320462811 | 117–113 | 58% | 0–112 |
| Semifinal 2-2 | 299044881432 | 580320462811 | 116–113 | 53% | 109–135 |
| Finals | |||||
| Final 1 | 198313182411 | 580320462811 | 116–113 | 54% | 74–160 |
| Final 2 | 198313182411 | 580320462811 | 115–114 | 52% | 158–152 |
| Final 3 | 198313182411 | 580320462811 | 116–115 | 53% | 110–130 |
| Match | Red | Blue | Pred | Win prob | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qual 4 | 593929803588 | 204652952412 | 61–71 | 68% | 84–71 |
| Qual 12 | 378135882046 | 59373602929 | 90–67 | 71% | 90–70 |
| Qual 16 | 529529063237 | 35743602046 | 46–98 | 97% | 35–110 |
| Qual 23 | 368432185748 | 378620462906 | 52–82 | 92% | 52–81 |
| Qual 30 | 593720461425 | 304929275683 | 104–48 | 99% | 101–51 |
| Qual 35 | 378629424579 | 406029272046 | 52–79 | 85% | 40–72 |
| Qual 40 | 298020463049 | 406059414579 | 75–47 | 85% | 90–62 |
| Qual 44 | 204632372910 | 378132191425 | 71–94 | 82% | 91–105 |
| Qual 53 | 321944612046 | 357435885748 | 84–80 | 58% | 93–80 |
| Qual 56 | 446920462929 | 468137872906 | 100–71 | 91% | 111–76 |
| Qual 65 | 33933221948 | 255520465748 | 84–77 | 62% | 81–75 |
| Qual 70 | 290629802910 | 593920463787 | 82–89 | 65% | 68–94 |
| Playoffs | |||||
| Quarterfinal 3-1 | 357420462980 | 358824122906 | 126–108 | 61% | 141–108 |
| Quarterfinal 3-2 | 357420462980 | 358824122906 | 125–108 | 62% | 162–105 |
| Semifinal 2-1 | 357420462980 | 321941314060 | 126–99 | 80% | 108–105 |
| Semifinal 2-2 | 357420462980 | 321941314060 | 125–99 | 78% | 102–112 |
| Semifinal 2-3 | 357420462980 | 321941314060 | 123–100 | 73% | 100–121 |
| Match | Red | Blue | Pred | Win prob | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qual 8 | 413238264089 | 491129282046 | 87–104 | 78% | 99–85 |
| Qual 13 | 95520461983 | 322313181595 | 109–99 | 59% | 116–102 |
| Qual 28 | 357430242046 | 406159702930 | 111–98 | 67% | 116–89 |
| Qual 39 | 407729071778 | 204644692811 | 90–117 | 85% | 104–96 |
| Qual 46 | 204625225468 | 367449802910 | 100–93 | 58% | 106–112 |
| Qual 74 | 214913182046 | 413158275085 | 107–81 | 89% | 108–124 |
| Qual 83 | 21497531258 | 204640575450 | 92–108 | 73% | 88–124 |
| Qual 92 | 151025222980 | 20464450360 | 89–122 | 96% | 100–128 |
| Qual 104 | 339341253238 | 491532192046 | 117–92 | 90% | 96–101 |
| Qual 109 | 255724713711 | 204659204089 | 118–105 | 72% | 128–107 |
| Qual 119 | 204659702910 | 491559424205 | 101–95 | 58% | 137–97 |
| Playoffs | |||||
| Quarterfinal 4-1 | 204615402522 | 44889553393 | 166–155 | 65% | 173–98 |
| Quarterfinal 4-2 | 204615402522 | 44889553393 | 166–153 | 71% | 188–113 |
| Semifinal 2-1 | 142519832907 | 204615402522 | 169–166 | 54% | 144–154 |
| Semifinal 2-2 | 142519832907 | 204615402522 | 169–165 | 55% | 158–152 |
| Semifinal 2-3 | 142519832907 | 204615402522 | 168–163 | 58% | 164–141 |
| Match | Red | Blue | Pred | Win prob | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qual 12 | 20464060193 | 1559172869 | 106–117 | 64% | 127–109 |
| Qual 20 | 132340604085 | 81249672046 | 100–128 | 83% | 127–116 |
| Qual 27 | 516617695232 | 20463644920 | 84–112 | 85% | 95–117 |
| Qual 39 | 509817362046 | 42563032438 | 121–101 | 77% | 116–109 |
| Qual 59 | 17255462046 | 424133241678 | 124–118 | 62% | 117–139 |
| Qual 68 | 204658993414 | 12181233880 | 98–105 | 59% | 87–76 |
| Qual 84 | 273320465996 | 607059105801 | 93–78 | 68% | 100–81 |
| Qual 90 | 9712315839 | 204677170 | 130–111 | 73% | 151–110 |
| Qual 109 | 153849204547 | 364624712046 | 103–97 | 60% | 115–96 |
| Qual 116 | 1482046686 | 33975811670 | 149–84 | 99% | 143–82 |
| Playoffs | |||||
| Quarterfinal 3-1 | 142515382046 | 49673461011 | 176–173 | 52% | 140–153 |
| Quarterfinal 3-2 | 142515382046 | 49673461011 | 174–173 | 53% | 171–180 |
| Match | Red | Blue | Pred | Win prob | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qual 2 | 281142053219 | 468144502046 | 85–94 | 54% | 65–90 |
| Qual 3 | 322349112557 | 323812942046 | 112–113 | 52% | 108–91 |
| Qual 9 | 129425224681 | 32232046360 | 82–118 | 80% | 72–110 |
| Qual 10 | 293032385803 | 204649113219 | 117–106 | 60% | 60–119 |
| Qual 14 | 281125572046 | 252249112990 | 116–110 | 56% | 109–91 |
| Qual 17 | 29301294360 | 299028112046 | 110–106 | 54% | 74–116 |
| Qual 20 | 20469484205 | 25223602811 | 98–116 | 66% | 132–100 |
| Qual 21 | 252220465803 | 293042054681 | 113–79 | 83% | 121–63 |
| Playoffs | |||||
| Semifinal 1-1 | 255720462522 | 580328112990 | 151–137 | 62% | 122–102 |
| Semifinal 1-2 | 255720462522 | 580328112990 | 151–137 | 64% | 71–112 |
| Semifinal 1-3 | 255720462522 | 580328112990 | 151–137 | 62% | 61–100 |
| Match | Red | Blue | Pred | Win prob | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Qual 2 | 413129281899 | 204629104060 | 87–104 | 61% | 54–86 |
| Qual 7 | 204644504173 | 322319833238 | 101–118 | 59% | 74–89 |
| Qual 11 | 189920463219 | 40899482980 | 84–93 | 54% | 75–19 |
| Qual 19 | 36633603588 | 204635742907 | 131–108 | 71% | 61–85 |
| Qual 22 | 204632384915 | 241225222910 | 116–100 | 65% | 78–97 |
| Qual 27 | 446132232557 | 293020462976 | 95–95 | 51% | 49–53 |
| Qual 36 | 407741732976 | 20463605803 | 75–128 | 97% | 48–105 |
| Qual 41 | 413120462557 | 4924450360 | 125–107 | 54% | 84–58 |
| Playoffs | |||||
| Semifinal 1-1 | 13181983360 | 366320462907 | 179–152 | 54% | 120–54 |
| Semifinal 1-2 | 13181983360 | 366320462907 | 179–152 | 58% | 121–101 |
