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Red72
378615.2
204632.3
378723.0
Blue69
131824.2
290729.8
491816.3
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6362405070807269

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.31.2
23.224.4
Auto12.8
Teleop14.7
End4.8
red by 2.5
29.81.0
23.324.3
Auto10.4
Teleop12.8
End6.6
Second
3787
#15
23.01.2
23.624.8
Auto7.3
Teleop11.7
End4.0
blue by 1.2
1318
#18
24.21.0
25.226.2
Auto8.8
Teleop12.8
End2.6
Third
3786
#32
15.21.2
14.215.4
Auto4.0
Teleop8.4
End2.8
blue by 1.0
4918
#36
16.31.0
11.612.6
Auto1.4
Teleop12.5
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
49%Breach oddsEarned40%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed