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Qual 902016 Hopper Division
Red151
97167.2
23133.7
583928.8
Blue110
204638.3
77120.9
7043.7
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13410750150200151110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
971
#4
67.21.0
65.8→66.8
Auto23.2
Teleop35.2
End8.8
red by 23.5
70
#28
43.71.5
45.7→44.2
Auto14.0
Teleop25.2
End4.5
Second
231
#10
33.71.0
33.2→34.2
Auto10.3
Teleop18.7
End4.7
blue by 4.6
2046
#23
38.31.5
41.1→39.6
Auto15.4
Teleop18.0
End4.8
Third
5839
#58
28.81.0
26.8→27.9
Auto6.6
Teleop15.9
End6.3
red by 7.9
771
#49
20.91.5
20.8→19.3
Auto6.3
Teleop11.6
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
85%Breach oddsEarned97%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
51%Capture oddsEarned19%Capture oddsMissed