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Red74
198338.8
131840.9
241115.2
Blue160
580332.2
204637.0
281125.5
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1171135010015020074160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.90.5
41.140.6
Auto11.1
Teleop25.3
End4.6
red by 3.9
37.00.3
36.036.3
Auto13.8
Teleop17.4
End5.8
Second
38.80.5
38.938.5
Auto11.1
Teleop16.8
End10.8
red by 6.6
5803
#10
32.20.3
31.231.5
Auto6.3
Teleop17.7
End8.1
Third
2411
#25
15.20.5
15.414.8
Auto6.0
Teleop7.9
End1.3
blue by 10.3
2811
#15
25.50.3
24.524.8
Auto9.3
Teleop13.3
End2.9