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Red96
339331.7
412530.4
323843.6
Blue101
491528.6
321927.2
204641.1
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1238720406010014016018096101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3238
#23
43.61.5
46.044.4
Auto9.0
Teleop29.7
End4.9
red by 2.5
2046
#27
41.10.8
38.339.0
Auto15.6
Teleop19.6
End5.8
Second
3393
#39
31.71.5
35.834.2
Auto9.1
Teleop18.0
End4.7
red by 3.1
4915
#55
28.60.8
25.926.7
Auto8.7
Teleop16.5
End3.4
Third
4125
#38
30.41.5
32.330.8
Auto9.6
Teleop16.7
End4.0
red by 3.2
3219
#31
27.20.8
25.426.2
Auto6.2
Teleop16.4
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
99%Breach oddsEarned95%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
21%Capture oddsMissed5%Capture oddsMissed