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Red110
558827.5
594238.0
405736.9
Blue112
247142.5
357436.2
294428.9
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1011116080120140160110112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5942
#37
38.00.7
35.736.3
Auto8.2
Teleop23.7
End6.1
blue by 4.5
2471
#24
42.50.4
42.342.7
Auto14.4
Teleop21.6
End6.5
Second
4057
#41
36.90.7
35.035.7
Auto7.5
Teleop24.5
End4.9
red by 0.7
3574
#12
36.20.4
36.837.1
Auto9.3
Teleop21.5
End5.3
Third
5588
#40
27.50.7
29.129.8
Auto8.9
Teleop13.4
End5.1
blue by 1.4
2944
#43
28.90.4
27.427.8
Auto8.4
Teleop16.4
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
85%Breach oddsEarned96%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
18%Capture oddsEarned16%Capture oddsEarned