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Red173
204641.1
154048.5
252232.1
Blue98
448843.5
95533.0
339331.7
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16815210020025017398

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.50.0
49.349.3
Auto11.2
Teleop31.4
End5.9
red by 4.9
4488
#11
43.50.5
44.544.0
Auto12.4
Teleop24.6
End6.5
Second
2046
#27
41.10.0
41.941.9
Auto15.6
Teleop19.6
End5.8
red by 8.1
955
#7
33.00.5
34.033.5
Auto8.4
Teleop20.1
End4.6
Third
2522
#28
32.10.0
33.032.9
Auto12.0
Teleop15.9
End4.2
red by 0.4
3393
#39
31.70.5
32.732.2
Auto9.1
Teleop18.0
End4.7