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Red110
198338.8
131840.9
241115.2
Blue130
580332.2
204637.0
281125.5
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1161156080100140160110130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.90.1
41.140.9
Auto11.1
Teleop25.3
End4.6
red by 3.9
37.00.4
36.737.0
Auto13.8
Teleop17.4
End5.8
Second
38.80.1
38.938.8
Auto11.1
Teleop16.8
End10.8
red by 6.6
5803
#10
32.20.4
31.832.2
Auto6.3
Teleop17.7
End8.1
Third
2411
#25
15.20.1
15.315.2
Auto6.0
Teleop7.9
End1.3
blue by 10.3
2811
#15
25.50.4
25.125.5
Auto9.3
Teleop13.3
End2.9