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Qual 102016 Peak Performance
Red60
293031.2
323845.4
580337.5
Blue119
204638.3
491137.2
321927.2
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12010305015020025060119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3238
#15
45.40.0
45.4→45.4
Auto9.9
Teleop30.1
End5.3
red by 7.1
2046
#1
38.30.0
38.3→38.3
Auto15.4
Teleop18.0
End4.8
Second
5803
#8
37.50.0
37.5→37.5
Auto7.2
Teleop19.5
End10.8
red by 0.3
4911
#2
37.20.0
37.2→37.2
Auto10.7
Teleop21.5
End5.0
Third
2930
#13
31.20.0
31.2→31.2
Auto9.5
Teleop16.1
End5.5
red by 4.1
3219
#11
27.20.0
27.2→27.2
Auto6.2
Teleop16.4
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
99%Breach odds99%Breach odds
Capture
38%Capture odds44%Capture odds