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Red86
299035.5
445032.9
420526.0
Blue73
129426.0
94831.3
322326.7
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions99840501502002508673

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2990
#10
35.50.0
35.535.5
Auto10.7
Teleop19.1
End5.7
red by 4.2
948
#5
31.30.0
31.331.3
Auto11.1
Teleop15.7
End4.5
Second
32.90.0
32.932.9
Auto4.9
Teleop20.5
End7.4
red by 6.2
3223
#17
26.70.0
26.726.7
Auto9.6
Teleop12.2
End4.9
Third
26.00.0
26.026.0
Auto7.6
Teleop14.6
End3.8
red by 0.1
1294
#14
26.00.0
26.026.0
Auto9.0
Teleop13.7
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
94%Breach odds92%Breach odds
Capture
29%Capture odds1%Capture odds