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Qual 122016 Peak Performance
Red69
281129.2
293031.2
322326.7
Blue96
255745.4
321927.2
94831.3
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions861110501502002506996

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2930
#13
31.20.0
31.2→31.2
Auto9.5
Teleop16.1
End5.5
blue by 14.2
2557
#4
45.40.0
45.4→45.4
Auto9.0
Teleop25.0
End11.3
Second
2811
#6
29.20.0
29.2→29.2
Auto6.4
Teleop17.9
End5.0
blue by 2.1
948
#5
31.30.0
31.3→31.3
Auto11.1
Teleop15.7
End4.5
Third
3223
#17
26.70.0
26.7→26.7
Auto9.6
Teleop12.2
End4.9
blue by 0.5
3219
#11
27.20.0
27.2→27.2
Auto6.2
Teleop16.4
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach odds98%Breach odds
Capture
6%Capture odds4%Capture odds