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Red40
558824.6
189910.7
413128.4
Blue82
204632.3
290625.4
198341.4
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions487702040601001201404082

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4131
#14
28.41.2
15.714.5
Auto8.6
Teleop15.0
End4.8
blue by 13.0
41.40.2
30.831.0
Auto9.6
Teleop20.8
End11.0
Second
5588
#20
24.61.2
19.017.8
Auto8.5
Teleop11.9
End4.2
blue by 7.7
32.30.2
23.023.2
Auto12.8
Teleop14.7
End4.8
Third
1899
#38
10.71.2
15.914.7
Auto2.0
Teleop6.1
End2.5
blue by 14.7
2906
#17
25.40.2
16.716.9
Auto2.7
Teleop17.8
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
29%Breach oddsMissed68%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed