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Red128
255741.6
247142.5
371131.2
Blue107
204641.1
592034.1
408928.5
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1211026080140160180200128107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2471
#24
42.50.5
42.743.2
Auto14.4
Teleop21.6
End6.5
red by 1.4
2046
#27
41.10.3
39.039.4
Auto15.6
Teleop19.6
End5.8
Second
2557
#15
41.60.5
42.743.2
Auto7.6
Teleop24.2
End9.8
red by 7.4
5920
#36
34.10.3
34.534.8
Auto9.1
Teleop21.2
End3.9
Third
3711
#53
31.20.5
29.730.2
Auto10.4
Teleop16.3
End4.5
red by 2.7
4089
#13
28.50.3
28.528.9
Auto8.2
Teleop15.8
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
99%Breach oddsEarned99%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
26%Capture oddsEarned12%Capture oddsEarned