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Red104
366337.2
125835.6
294428.9
Blue117
237436.8
406136.3
546829.6
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1061026080120140160104117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3663
#56
37.20.1
39.139.2
Auto10.6
Teleop21.8
End4.7
red by 0.4
2374
#26
36.80.8
35.136.0
Auto10.1
Teleop22.5
End4.1
Second
1258
#10
35.60.1
35.635.7
Auto11.4
Teleop17.6
End6.6
blue by 0.7
4061
#25
36.30.8
36.437.2
Auto11.1
Teleop19.2
End6.0
Third
2944
#43
28.90.1
27.827.9
Auto8.4
Teleop16.4
End4.1
blue by 0.7
5468
#61
29.60.8
28.329.1
Auto9.9
Teleop16.1
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach oddsEarned99%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
9%Capture oddsEarned5%Capture oddsEarned