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Red70
290729.8
580322.6
378122.9
Blue55
366333.0
446113.8
204632.3
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions60742040801001207055

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.80.0
28.628.6
Auto10.4
Teleop12.8
End6.6
blue by 3.2
33.01.6
30.829.2
Auto7.4
Teleop20.4
End5.1
Second
3781
#16
22.90.0
14.014.0
Auto5.0
Teleop14.6
End3.3
blue by 9.3
32.31.6
29.327.7
Auto12.8
Teleop14.7
End4.8
Third
5803
#24
22.60.0
17.717.6
Auto1.6
Teleop16.6
End4.4
red by 8.7
4461
#27
13.81.6
9.47.8
Auto3.8
Teleop8.5
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
54%Breach oddsEarned74%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed