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Red39
290625.4
292715.5
593722.0
Blue59
321921.6
378615.2
292917.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45430102030506070803959

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2906
#17
25.40.5
16.916.4
Auto2.7
Teleop17.8
End4.9
red by 3.7
3219
#23
21.61.4
12.814.2
Auto1.4
Teleop15.5
End4.7
Second
5937
#25
22.00.5
18.017.5
Auto10.4
Teleop9.1
End2.5
red by 4.6
2929
#30
17.41.4
16.217.6
Auto5.6
Teleop8.9
End3.0
Third
2927
#19
15.50.5
8.78.2
Auto3.1
Teleop8.8
End3.7
red by 0.3
3786
#32
15.21.4
12.714.1
Auto4.0
Teleop8.4
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
33%Breach oddsMissed14%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed