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Red74
293031.2
129426.0
36049.5
Blue116
299035.5
281129.2
204638.3
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1111055015020074116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
360
#12
49.50.0
49.549.5
Auto14.6
Teleop29.1
End5.8
red by 11.2
38.30.0
38.338.3
Auto15.4
Teleop18.0
End4.8
Second
2930
#13
31.20.0
31.231.2
Auto9.5
Teleop16.1
End5.5
blue by 4.3
2990
#10
35.50.0
35.535.5
Auto10.7
Teleop19.1
End5.7
Third
1294
#14
26.00.0
26.026.0
Auto9.0
Teleop13.7
End3.3
blue by 3.2
29.20.0
29.229.2
Auto6.4
Teleop17.9
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach odds99%Breach odds
Capture
8%Capture odds38%Capture odds