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Red109
252228.2
204632.3
593722.0
Blue109
129423.9
94924.1
290625.4
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10789406080120140160180109109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.30.0
32.232.2
Auto12.8
Teleop14.7
End4.8
red by 6.9
2906
#17
25.40.3
25.125.4
Auto2.7
Teleop17.8
End4.9
Second
2522
#12
28.20.0
28.128.1
Auto8.7
Teleop16.3
End3.1
red by 4.0
949
#10
24.10.3
23.824.1
Auto11.4
Teleop8.3
End4.3
Third
5937
#25
22.00.0
21.921.9
Auto10.4
Teleop9.1
End2.5
blue by 1.9
1294
#11
23.90.3
23.623.9
Auto9.3
Teleop11.5
End3.0