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Red115
153845.3
492029.9
454723.1
Blue96
364614.7
247140.3
204638.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1049640608012014016011596

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1538
#21
45.30.0
46.046.0
Auto9.4
Teleop27.7
End8.1
red by 5.0
2471
#44
40.30.6
40.840.2
Auto11.7
Teleop23.5
End5.0
Second
4920
#52
29.90.0
30.030.0
Auto8.8
Teleop15.2
End5.9
blue by 8.4
2046
#23
38.30.6
39.639.1
Auto15.4
Teleop18.0
End4.8
Third
4547
#68
23.10.0
23.923.9
Auto7.6
Teleop11.4
End4.1
red by 8.5
3646
#74
14.70.6
13.913.3
Auto4.4
Teleop8.7
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
75%Breach oddsEarned93%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsMissed22%Capture oddsMissed