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Red65
281129.2
420526.0
321927.2
Blue90
468119.8
445032.9
204638.3
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions83950501502002503003506590

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.20.0
29.229.2
Auto6.4
Teleop17.9
End5.0
blue by 9.1
38.30.0
38.338.3
Auto15.4
Teleop18.0
End4.8
Second
3219
#11
27.20.0
27.227.2
Auto6.2
Teleop16.4
End4.5
blue by 5.7
32.90.0
32.932.9
Auto4.9
Teleop20.5
End7.4
Third
26.00.0
26.026.0
Auto7.6
Teleop14.6
End3.8
red by 6.3
4681
#16
19.80.0
19.819.8
Auto7.0
Teleop10.5
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
92%Breach odds85%Breach odds
Capture
6%Capture odds15%Capture odds