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Red78
204638.3
323845.4
491528.6
Blue97
241229.3
252234.4
291033.8
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions119970501502002507897

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.40.0
45.445.4
Auto9.9
Teleop30.1
End5.3
red by 11.0
2522
#22
34.40.0
34.434.4
Auto13.4
Teleop16.2
End4.8
Second
38.30.0
38.338.3
Auto15.4
Teleop18.0
End4.8
red by 4.5
33.80.0
33.833.8
Auto8.2
Teleop16.9
End8.7
Third
28.60.0
28.628.6
Auto8.7
Teleop16.5
End3.4
blue by 0.7
29.30.0
29.329.3
Auto7.4
Teleop18.5
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
99%Breach odds95%Breach odds
Capture
27%Capture odds16%Capture odds