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Red56
358833.8
446119.8
413137.8
Blue81
94831.3
417326.5
255745.4
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions911090501502002503005681

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4131
#18
37.80.0
37.837.8
Auto8.2
Teleop23.4
End6.1
blue by 7.6
2557
#12
45.40.0
45.445.4
Auto9.0
Teleop25.0
End11.3
Second
3588
#31
33.80.0
33.833.8
Auto9.2
Teleop19.1
End5.5
red by 2.5
948
#21
31.30.0
31.331.3
Auto11.1
Teleop15.7
End4.5
Third
4461
#28
19.80.0
19.819.8
Auto5.0
Teleop11.2
End3.6
blue by 6.7
4173
#19
26.50.0
26.526.5
Auto7.7
Teleop15.1
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
77%Breach odds98%Breach odds
Capture
2%Capture odds1%Capture odds