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Red39
36049.5
322326.7
321927.2
Blue65
406029.3
292831.3
198342.2
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1061064060801001203965

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
360
#27
49.50.0
49.549.5
Auto14.6
Teleop29.1
End5.8
red by 7.3
42.20.0
42.242.2
Auto10.8
Teleop19.8
End11.6
Second
3219
#14
27.20.0
27.227.2
Auto6.2
Teleop16.4
End4.5
blue by 4.1
2928
#13
31.30.0
31.331.3
Auto9.3
Teleop16.9
End5.1
Third
3223
#29
26.70.0
26.726.7
Auto9.6
Teleop12.2
End4.9
blue by 2.6
4060
#17
29.30.0
29.329.3
Auto7.0
Teleop16.1
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
91%Breach odds96%Breach odds
Capture
15%Capture odds24%Capture odds