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Qual 392016 Hopper Division
Red116
509829.5
173645.7
204638.3
Blue109
425633.0
30337.3
243838.9
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1269750150200116109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1736
#12
45.70.5
46.9→46.5
Auto14.3
Teleop25.8
End5.7
red by 6.8
2438
#50
38.90.7
29.9→30.6
Auto14.3
Teleop19.3
End5.3
Second
2046
#23
38.30.5
42.0→41.5
Auto15.4
Teleop18.0
End4.8
red by 0.9
303
#6
37.30.7
37.2→37.9
Auto8.9
Teleop22.3
End6.1
Third
5098
#37
29.50.5
28.8→28.4
Auto9.6
Teleop15.4
End4.4
blue by 3.6
4256
#22
33.00.7
31.2→31.9
Auto6.7
Teleop19.8
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach oddsEarned88%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
42%Capture oddsEarned14%Capture oddsEarned