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Qual 592016 Hopper Division
Red117
17238.6
554636.7
204638.3
Blue139
424134.2
332431.0
167865.8
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1251176080100140160180117139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
172
#30
38.60.2
40.2→40.0
Auto8.1
Teleop24.8
End5.7
blue by 27.2
1678
#3
65.81.3
57.7→59.0
Auto20.5
Teleop37.9
End7.4
Second
2046
#23
38.30.2
41.5→41.3
Auto15.4
Teleop18.0
End4.8
red by 4.1
4241
#32
34.21.3
31.5→32.8
Auto8.5
Teleop18.5
End7.2
Third
5546
#19
36.70.2
38.8→38.5
Auto10.9
Teleop13.5
End12.2
red by 5.6
3324
#70
31.01.3
25.5→26.8
Auto10.1
Teleop18.0
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
99%Breach oddsEarned93%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
46%Capture oddsMissed26%Capture oddsMissed