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Red97
173231.9
421636.1
23133.7
Blue114
201345.2
581134.1
408535.4
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1021305015020097114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4216
#41
36.10.7
35.835.0
Auto11.3
Teleop20.3
End4.4
blue by 9.1
2013
#17
45.20.9
47.346.4
Auto13.3
Teleop23.8
End8.1
Second
231
#10
33.70.7
35.234.5
Auto10.3
Teleop18.7
End4.7
blue by 1.7
4085
#20
35.40.9
35.734.9
Auto12.0
Teleop14.0
End9.4
Third
1732
#59
31.90.7
31.931.2
Auto8.3
Teleop19.6
End4.0
blue by 2.2
5811
#48
34.10.9
38.838.0
Auto11.0
Teleop16.6
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
92%Breach oddsEarned99%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
30%Capture oddsMissed19%Capture oddsMissed