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Red116
95533.0
204641.1
198343.9
Blue102
322326.7
131842.2
159536.4
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11197050150200250116102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.90.3
39.139.4
Auto12.6
Teleop17.5
End13.9
red by 1.7
42.20.4
41.942.2
Auto11.1
Teleop26.7
End4.4
Second
2046
#27
41.10.3
37.237.5
Auto15.6
Teleop19.6
End5.8
red by 4.7
1595
#32
36.40.4
30.130.5
Auto11.4
Teleop18.4
End6.6
Third
955
#7
33.00.3
29.930.2
Auto8.4
Teleop20.1
End4.6
red by 6.3
3223
#34
26.70.4
24.725.0
Auto9.6
Teleop12.2
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
99%Breach oddsEarned93%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
3%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed