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Red100
448843.5
582722.5
293031.2
Blue106
291033.8
294428.9
263524.9
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10371050150200100106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4488
#11
43.50.0
45.545.5
Auto12.4
Teleop24.6
End6.5
red by 9.7
2910
#21
33.82.1
25.828.0
Auto8.2
Teleop16.9
End8.7
Second
2930
#33
31.20.0
32.832.8
Auto9.5
Teleop16.1
End5.5
red by 2.3
2944
#43
28.92.1
26.028.1
Auto8.4
Teleop16.4
End4.1
Third
5827
#54
22.50.0
16.816.8
Auto8.8
Teleop10.8
End3.0
blue by 2.4
2635
#62
24.92.1
22.124.3
Auto7.5
Teleop13.6
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach oddsEarned76%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
3%Capture oddsEarned0%Capture oddsMissed