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Red59
99727.7
151025.2
412530.4
Blue100
75330.5
281129.2
558827.5
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8589020406010012014016059100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4125
#38
30.41.6
31.329.6
Auto9.6
Teleop16.7
End4.0
blue by 0.1
753
#22
30.50.6
27.227.8
Auto8.0
Teleop17.5
End5.1
Second
997
#60
27.71.6
26.524.9
Auto8.0
Teleop17.0
End2.7
blue by 1.5
2811
#63
29.20.6
33.033.7
Auto6.4
Teleop17.9
End5.0
Third
1510
#64
25.21.6
25.724.1
Auto6.6
Teleop15.8
End2.8
blue by 2.3
5588
#40
27.50.6
25.426.0
Auto8.9
Teleop13.4
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
89%Breach oddsEarned93%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsEarned