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Red93
420526.0
252232.1
405736.9
Blue121
545033.3
339331.7
177835.3
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions949840608012014016093121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4057
#41
36.90.3
33.533.2
Auto7.5
Teleop24.5
End4.9
red by 1.6
1778
#14
35.31.1
28.829.9
Auto7.1
Teleop22.9
End5.3
Second
2522
#28
32.10.3
29.429.1
Auto12.0
Teleop15.9
End4.2
blue by 1.3
5450
#19
33.31.1
32.233.3
Auto7.3
Teleop20.0
End6.1
Third
4205
#57
26.00.3
29.128.8
Auto7.6
Teleop14.6
End3.8
blue by 5.7
3393
#39
31.71.1
33.534.6
Auto9.1
Teleop18.0
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
92%Breach oddsEarned93%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsEarned