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Red99
36041.6
508525.7
321927.2
Blue71
546829.6
597030.2
378725.2
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions89860501001502009971

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
360
#5
41.60.1
32.132.0
Auto9.7
Teleop27.0
End5.0
red by 11.5
5970
#48
30.20.9
24.423.5
Auto8.6
Teleop17.3
End4.3
Second
3219
#31
27.20.1
25.825.7
Auto6.2
Teleop16.4
End4.5
blue by 2.5
5468
#61
29.60.9
31.430.6
Auto9.9
Teleop16.1
End3.6
Third
5085
#47
25.70.1
28.128.0
Auto9.3
Teleop13.0
End3.4
red by 0.5
3787
#49
25.20.9
28.327.4
Auto8.9
Teleop12.6
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
93%Breach oddsEarned93%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed