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Red122
323839.1
198341.4
378615.2
Blue106
252228.2
204632.3
593722.0
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions123103406080140160180200122106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.40.0
41.841.8
Auto9.6
Teleop20.8
End11.0
red by 9.2
32.30.0
32.832.8
Auto12.8
Teleop14.7
End4.8
Second
39.10.0
39.539.5
Auto8.5
Teleop25.3
End5.3
red by 10.9
2522
#12
28.20.0
28.628.7
Auto8.7
Teleop16.3
End3.1
Third
3786
#32
15.20.0
15.615.6
Auto4.0
Teleop8.4
End2.8
blue by 6.8
5937
#25
22.00.1
22.522.6
Auto10.4
Teleop9.1
End2.5