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Red111
445031.6
417326.5
48824.6
Blue117
413128.4
255726.7
36024.5
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10396406080120140160180111117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.60.2
31.431.6
Auto3.8
Teleop25.7
End2.1
red by 3.2
4131
#14
28.40.2
28.028.2
Auto8.6
Teleop15.0
End4.8
Second
26.50.2
26.326.5
Auto6.2
Teleop15.8
End4.4
blue by 0.2
26.70.2
26.226.4
Auto3.8
Teleop17.9
End4.9
Third
488
#21
24.60.2
24.424.6
Auto8.4
Teleop12.5
End3.7
red by 0.1
360
#33
24.50.2
24.124.2
Auto4.4
Teleop18.2
End1.8