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Red166
580332.2
204637.0
281125.5
Blue85
252124.7
357431.6
151022.3
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions113955015020016685

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.00.6
35.035.6
Auto13.8
Teleop17.4
End5.8
red by 5.4
31.60.0
31.431.4
Auto10.0
Teleop16.4
End5.2
Second
5803
#10
32.20.6
30.130.8
Auto6.3
Teleop17.7
End8.1
red by 7.6
2521
#23
24.70.0
24.424.5
Auto7.1
Teleop15.1
End2.5
Third
2811
#15
25.50.6
23.424.0
Auto9.3
Teleop13.3
End2.9
red by 3.2
1510
#18
22.30.0
22.022.1
Auto6.6
Teleop12.2
End3.5