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Red130
299031.5
448846.6
143215.0
Blue109
95529.0
84725.2
255027.7
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1209650150200130109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.60.3
46.747.0
Auto11.0
Teleop29.0
End6.6
red by 17.6
955
#17
29.00.2
28.829.0
Auto7.9
Teleop18.0
End3.0
Second
31.50.3
31.631.9
Auto10.0
Teleop16.0
End5.5
red by 3.8
2550
#19
27.70.2
27.527.7
Auto6.3
Teleop17.4
End4.1
Third
1432
#21
15.00.3
15.115.4
Auto7.4
Teleop6.8
End0.8
blue by 10.2
847
#8
25.20.2
25.025.2
Auto6.5
Teleop13.2
End5.5