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Semifinal 2-22016 PNW District - Philomath Event
Red109
299031.5
448846.6
143215.0
Blue135
580332.2
204637.0
281125.5
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions117112050150200250109135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4488
#2
46.60.2
46.8→46.6
Auto11.0
Teleop29.0
End6.6
red by 9.6
2046
#3
37.00.2
35.8→36.0
Auto13.8
Teleop17.4
End5.8
Second
2990
#4
31.50.2
31.7→31.5
Auto10.0
Teleop16.0
End5.5
blue by 0.7
5803
#10
32.20.2
31.0→31.2
Auto6.3
Teleop17.7
End8.1
Third
1432
#21
15.00.2
15.2→15.0
Auto7.4
Teleop6.8
End0.8
blue by 10.4
2811
#15
25.50.2
24.3→24.5
Auto9.3
Teleop13.3
End2.9